Chaos in credit–constrained emerging economies with Leontief technology

This work provides a framework to analyze the role of financial development as a source of endogenous instability in emerging economies subject to moral hazard problems. We study a piecewise linear dynamic model describing a small open economy with a tradable good produced by internationally mobile capital and a country specific production factor, using Leontief technology. We demonstrate that emerging markets could be endogenously unstable when large capital in–flows increase risk and exacerbate asymmetric information problems, according to empirical evidence. Using bifurcation and stability analysis we describe the properties of the system attractors, we assess the plausibility for complex dynamics and we find out that border collision bifurcations can emerge.border collision bifurcations,,complex dynamics,,emerging economies,,CEECs,,Endogenous instability,,moral hazard,,piecewise linear map.

Global attractor in Solow growth model with differential savings and endogenic labor force growth

In this paper we study the dynamics of a discrete triangular system T in capital per capita and population growth representing the neoclassical growth model with CES production function and differential savings, under the assumption that the labor force growth rate is endogenous and described by a generic iterative scheme having a unique positive globally stable equilibrium. The study herewith presented aims at confirming the existence of a compact global attractor for system T along the invariant line. Consequently asymptotic dynamics of growth models with constant population growth rate can be related to those with non-constant population growth if the steady state rate is globally stable. Furthermore we prove that the system exhibits cycles or even chaotic dynamics patterns if shareholders save more than workers, when the elasticity of substitution between production factors drops below one (so that capital income declines). The analytical results are supplemented by numerical simulations.chaotic dynamics,,Compact global attractor,,Developing Countries,endogenic population growth.

Global Attractors of Non-autonomous Difference Equations

The article is devoted to the study of global attractors of quasi-linear non-autonomous difference equations, in particular we give the conditions for the existence of a compact global attractor. The obtained results are applied to the study of a triangular economic growth model recently developed by Brianzoni S., Mammana C. and Michetti E.Global attractors,Solow growth model,CGE,quasi-linear non-autonomous,difference equations,Endogenous population growth

Local and Global Dynamics in a Discrete Time Growth Model with Nonconcave Production Function

We study the dynamics shown by the discrete time neoclassical one-sector growth model with differential savings while assuming a nonconcave production function. We prove that complex features exhibited are related both to the structure of the coexixting attractors and to their basins. We also show that complexity emerges if the elasticity of substitution between production factors is low enough and shareholders save more than workers, confirming the results obtained while considering concave production functions

Local and Global Dynamics in a Neoclassical Growth Model with NonConcave Production Function and NonConstant Population Growth Rate

In this paper we analyze the dynamics shown by the neoclassical one-sector growth model with differential savings as in Bohm and Kaas [J. Econom. Dynam. Control, 24 (2000), pp. 965--980] while assuming a sigmoidal production function as in [V. Capasso, R. Engbers, and D. La Torre, Nonlinear Anal., 11 (2010), pp. 3858--3876] and the labor force dynamics described by the Beverton--Holt equation (see [R. J. H. Beverton and S. J. Holt, Fishery Invest., 19 (1957), pp. 1--533]). We prove that complex features are exhibited, related both to the structure of the coexisting attractors (which can be periodic or chaotic) and to their basins (which can be simple or nonconnected). In particular we show that complexity emerges if the elasticity of substitution between production factors is low enough and shareholders save more than workers, confirming the results obtained with concave production functions. Anyway, in contrast to previous studies, the use of the S-shaped production function implies the existence of a poverty trap: by performing a global analysis we study the properties of the regions generating trajectories converging to it

Updating Wealth in an Asset Pricing Model with Heterogeneous Agents

We consider an asset-pricing model with wealth dynamics in a market populated by heterogeneous agents. By assuming that all agents belonging to the same group agree to share their wealth whenever an agent joins the group (or leaves it), we develop an adaptive model which characterizes the evolution of wealth distribution when agents switch between different trading strategies. Two groups with heterogeneous beliefs are considered: fundamentalists and chartists. The model results in a nonlinear three-dimensional dynamical system, which we have studied in order to investigate complicated dynamics and to explain wealth distribution among agents in the long run

A Stochastic Cobweb Dynamical Model

We consider the dynamics of a stochastic cobweb model with linear demand and a backward-bending supply curve. In our model, forward-looking expectations and backward-looking ones are assumed, in fact we assume that the representative agent chooses the backward predictor with probability , and the forward predictor with probability , so that the expected price at time is a random variable and consequently the dynamics describing the price evolution in time is governed by a stochastic dynamical system. The dynamical system becomes a Markov process when the memory rate vanishes. In particular, we study the Markov chain in the cases of discrete and continuous time. Using a mixture of analytical tools and numerical methods, we show that, when prices take discrete values, the corresponding Markov chain is asymptotically stable. In the case with continuous prices and nonnecessarily zero memory rate, numerical evidence of bounded price oscillations is shown. The role of the memory rate is studied through numerical experiments, this study confirms the stabilizing effects of the presence of resistant memory

The dynamics of a Bertrand duopoly with differentiated products: synchronization, intermittency and global dynamics

We study the dynamics of a duopoly game à la Bertrand with horizontal product differentiation as proposed by Zhang et al. (2009) [35] by introducing opportune microeconomic foundations. The final model is described by a two-dimensional non-invertible discrete time dynamic system T. We show that synchronized dynamics occurs along the invariant diagonal being T symmetric; furthermore, we show that when considering the transverse stability, intermittency phenomena are exhibited. In addition, we discuss the transition from simple dynamics to complex dynamics and describe the structure of the attractor by using the critical lines technique. We also explain the global bifurcations causing a fractalization in the basin of attraction. Our results aim at demonstrating that an increase in either the degree of substitutability or complementarity between products of different varieties is a source of complexity in a duopoly with price competition

Border Collision Bifurcations in a Generalized Model of Population Dynamics

We analyze the dynamics of a generalized discrete time population model of a two-stage species with recruitment and capture. This generalization, which is inspired by other approaches and real data that one can find in literature, consists in considering no restriction for the value of the two key parameters appearing in the model, that is, the natural death rate and the mortality rate due to fishing activity. In the more general case the feasibility of the system has been preserved by posing opportune formulas for the piecewise map defining the model. The resulting two-dimensional nonlinear map is not smooth, though continuous, as its definition changes as any border is crossed in the phase plane. Hence, techniques from the mathematical theory of piecewise smooth dynamical systems must be applied to show that, due to the existence of borders, abrupt changes in the dynamic behavior of population sizes and multistability emerge. The main novelty of the present contribution with respect to the previous ones is that, while using real data, richer dynamics are produced, such as fluctuations and multistability. Such new evidences are of great interest in biology since new strategies to preserve the survival of the species can be suggested